Matthew Cerrone

Buzz: New Names, Lee and Burnett
By Matthew Cerrone - Nov 7, 2007 9:30 am

Omar Minaya, talking to reporters yesterday from Orlando…

“We’re always looking for a frontline starter, and that’s difficult to do…Teams aren’t willing to give them up unless you really blow them away and give them a lot of players.”

Blue Jays GM J.P. Ricciardi recently told ESPN.com that he is willing to entertain trade offers for RHP A.J. Burnett, who may opt out of his contract with Toronto after next season.

In his nine-year career, the frequently-injured Burnett has started at least 30 games in a season just once.  Yet, in 177 career starts, he is 69–66 with a 3.76 ERA, having struck out nearly one batter per inning.

…i could see the Mets being interested…burnett will likely cost a pitcher in return, but as long as the jays are freed of his money i am not sure the price in talent will be all that much…

Burnett, 30, will earn $12 million this coming season, but has o-trade protection against 15 teams.  

Meanwhile, according to Mark Hale in the New York Post, the Mets have talked to the Devil Rays during the GM Meetings, but not about LHP Scott Kazmir.

my guess is on talks involving either Dan Wheeler, Al Reyes or Edwin Jacksonjackson is 24, a fallen prospect with a quick arm and arbitration eligible this off season…while wheeler and reyers are two relief pitchers who were of interest to many teams, including the Mets, during last year’s trade deadline

Meanwhile, in Newsday, Ken Davidoff reports that Minaya had dinner last night with Indians GM Mark Shapiro. 

According to Davidoff, citing ‘a person familiar with the team’s thinking,’ Minaya and Shapiro intended to speak about potential matches in a deal for pitching.

Davidoff rules out the Mets acquiring C.C. Sabathia, Fausto Carmona or Jake Westbrook, meaning a likely option could be LHP Cliff Lee.

Lee, 29, will earn $3.75 million next year and $5.75 million in 2009.  His team will hold an $8 million option for 2010.

Last season, Lee got bumped from Cleveland’s starting rotation, then was demoted to Triple-A after starting the season 5–8 with a 6.38 ERA.  However, he won 14, 18 and 14 games in each of the previous three seasons, while compiling a 4.50 ERA.

RSS feed

40 Comments »

Comment by BiggieSmalls
2007-11-07 09:37:21

Ill take my chances with Burnett.. bring him back home where he started.

Send Delgado back to Toronto in some kind of package so he doesnt have to listen to God Bless America and can be bored in September..

Comment by M.DonaldGrant
2007-11-07 09:48:30

100% agree. Well said.

 
Comment by ravi3
2007-11-07 10:32:46

Tying in an earlier rumor here, I’d rather Rich Harden than Burnett…Both are just as injury prone, but I think Harden is a bit better, and is not a potential free agent in ‘08

Comment by Hit The Weights Zeile
2007-11-07 10:40:33

if delgado gets bored in a pennant race i wonder what will happen when his team is eliminated from the playoffs in july.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by gomets2008
2007-11-07 09:49:52

Im starting to get the feeling that Omar is going to try and acquire a #3 type pitcher and hope The Jacket can turn him into a#2…I think Omar is trying to keep Pelf, Humber, Gomez and Millz for the trade deadline…….so Im thinking if he can acquire a Cliff Lee or Lowry chep he will…and then wait til July or Nov of 08 to really try and get our next ace or aces.

Comment by gipper913
2007-11-07 12:20:36

That assumes Omar still has his job in Nov 08.

 
 
Comment by tfc3rid
2007-11-07 09:51:59

I like Burnett. Injury prone but worth a flyer as long as it doesn’t take a big name to go…

Cliff Lee is such an inconsistent pitcher… Yes, he’s lefty but I just don’t like his stuff…

Comment by rogasm
2007-11-07 10:38:21

Heilman for Burnett? However, I would prefer a signing of Colon in addition to a acquisition of a HEALTHY pitcher.

 
 
Comment by therealsince86
2007-11-07 09:56:39

Hey I get to repost my comment now that it matters.
I like the Burnett idea and would love a major trade that included Rios as well. This trade could save the Jays a ton of money and give them players that are locked up and cheap.
Mets get Rios and Burnett
Jays get Milledge, Pelfrey, Heilman and Gotay. Again that’s a lot to give up but those additions would be worth it. I think that is something the Jays would do. It gives them a replacement for Rios costing 10 million less. More depth in pitching with Pelfrey or Heilman taking Burnett’s spot and Gotay who could really help their offense. The Jays would be getting 4 ready players at the cost of less than 5 million and free up over 20 million. The Mets would take on more salary which we have and fill 2 holes.
Now time to get shot down by all the people who are going to say that Milledge could give you what Rios does and Heilman and Pelfrey are equal to Burnett.

Comment by gomets2008
2007-11-07 10:01:09

you wanna give away all those chips for Burnett? NO way….yes Rios is a good young player… but if we made this deal..u can forget Santana or Oswalt…both of which I would much rather give all that up 4..not to mention I really like Millz…I want to see him start in RF and show us what he can do…bcuz right now his value is a litle low.

Comment by therealsince86
2007-11-07 10:11:28

Come on Burnett is worth the risk. His K9 is over 9 and his WHIP last year was 1.14. That is ace like numbers. WE ARE NOT GETTING SANTANA by trade so saving our chips for this mythical ace is just dumb. Burnett or the Hadren types are the only potential aces available. Besides a chance to get Rios if he were even available should be taken.
Reyes, Rios, Wright, Beltran, Alou, is a great first 5. Pedro, Burnett, Maine, Perez, Silva/Livan = one of if not the best rotation in the NL. All that and it only cost us prospects. I do it. Its not like Burnett or Rios are aging veterans.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by gowrightgo
2007-11-07 10:22:50

Milledge’s ceiling is likely close to what Rios is right now. Plus injury history aside, Burnett is a former met farmhand who is clearly dominant with his stuff when right. I can not explain why he is not more of a winning pitcher other than his history of injury. Maybe he pitches hurt alot and that explains the losing. But I have seen him pitch alot over the years and he is flat out nasty with fire on his fastball. He has no hitter level stuff like our Olliver Perez when he is on.

The deal mentioned above is a no brainer. YOu do it it a minute if they Toronto allowed it.

 
Comment by toomanyuniforms
2007-11-07 11:23:23

I agree. Rios is what we wish Milledge could be, and he’s young. Burnett is injury prone, but that’s what’s available — worth a shot. Those “chips” that were mentioned — Heilman, Pelfrey, Gotay, etc. — are not all that impressive. On that note, it’s a bit more realistic than some other hypotheticals I’ve seen, (because it includes Milledge) but it does start to look like a “quantity for quality” trade of the sort that doesn’t happen much. My guess would be that we’d need to add a pitcher with more upside, but might be able to pull Heilman back, etc.

 
 
 
Comment by pochemunyet
2007-11-07 10:01:35

Milledge could give you what Rios does and Heilman and Pelfrey are equal to Burnett.

There, I said it.

Comment by therealsince86
2007-11-07 10:04:45

But there are some who believe it.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
Comment by pochemunyet
2007-11-07 10:11:33

Milledge is going to open eyes. We’ll be happy we kept him.

Wright, Reyes, Milledge for years to come. All home-grown.

 
Comment by therealsince86
2007-11-07 10:13:36

There is no way anyone could convince me, based on what I have seen, that I would rather have Milledge than Rios.

 
Comment by pochemunyet
2007-11-07 11:49:05

Maybe because you haven’t seen Stitch over a full year yet.

 
Comment by Cocaina
2007-11-07 11:53:47

I’d venture to say that if you don’t think Milledge will rock an .850 OPS in the Major Leagues by the time he’s 26, you are on crack. Compare their minor and major league statistics from the ages of 23 on earlier; Rios has reached his peak and Milledge’s is higher. Millz has a minor league IsoD basically twice as high as Rios’s, meaning there’s better pitch recognition, and his IsoD in his short major league stint was .070, 20 points higher than that of the 26-year-old Rios. Milledge’s OPS+ was 105 batting 8th for half a season, and Rios’s was 122 while being protected by Vernon Wells and Frank Thomas all year. Defensively, considering his tools, there’s no reason to believe Milledge does not have the capability to become as good as Rios in the field.

 
Comment by toomanyuniforms
2007-11-07 12:05:44

Rios is 26. Twenty-Six, and he really has excelled in the bigs. I don’t give a rats about all of the various indicators suggesting Milledge is more likely than not to one day be comparable to Rios. Milledge is a prospect. I like him, and I like the idea of the Mets bringing along their own players, but in a hypothetical swap, this is a no-brainer.

And I don’t think there’s a contingent of major league GMs on crack . . . although when they deal with the (ne Devil) Rays, it can seem that way.

 
 
 
 
Comment by Jaded1983
2007-11-07 09:57:23

What about having Pelfrey/Humber in the pen to accompany El Duque? Some people have mentioned it, but it hasnt been discussed in earnest here. I think it could be a good way to have them get more big league experience and could possibly sure up some holes we have out there. Thoughts?

Comment by pochemunyet
2007-11-07 10:02:40

That’s exactly what we should do with Pelfrey and Humber, plus give each of them spot starts and let them battle it out for #5.

Comment by JSC1968
2007-11-07 10:24:49

I think ST should determine the fate of Pelfrey and Humber unless they go for a YOUNG, HEALTHY #1-3 SP. They should just duke it out in ST, with the loser going to the pen.

I still think they need to get via FA or trade a #1-3.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
Comment by falcon4e
2007-11-07 10:13:45

Cerrone,

You should mention that Burnett apparently has an opt out clause in this deal that he plans to exercise if he is healthy this year. If he is hurt and feels he won’t make more, he won’t opt out.

I doubt Burnett will cost a lot. The GM is down on him.. questioned Burnett’s guts and every team has to know about this opt out so I wouldn’t give anything of note for AJ Burnett.

Comment by therealsince86
2007-11-07 10:17:00

That is a good point that I forgot. Maybe a package of Gomez and Gotay even get it done but I doubt it. Teams, like the Mets, are so desperate for starters. Think about the fact that Kyle Loshe is even being mentioned by any team in playoff contention. Our hope with Burnett would be that he is healthy and signs a reasonable extension.

 
 
Comment by gowrightgo
2007-11-07 10:19:18

THis is the type of post and really excellent reporting that gets me coming back week after week here.

I love the idea of trying to unearth a pitcher that is not on our radar screen at the moment. As avid fans but not baseball people (most of us here on the blog at least), we really do not know talent after the first or second tier of guys.

The targeting that gets done of particular types of pitchers is for example something we miss all the time on this blog. We look at ERA and WHIP and strikeouts and batting avg against when reviewing potential pitchers for us but we have no clue what most guys throw and what is their most effective stuff and how it would translate to a park like Shea or Citifield.

For example, Maine and to a lesser extent Perez were targeted by Minaya in the deals. Not just throw ins. He saw what they were (predominantly strikeout and flyball pitchers). He felt in Shea with its dimensions, it would hold more balls in the park than the new Pitt field or Camden Yards. Both guys were brought here and expected to improve based on real analysis of their strengths and our park. Maybe Edwin Jackson and Cliff Lee are those types of pitchers that would fit in our park.

I really don’t know but it is interesting to hear names other than Santana or Oswalt or Willis or Livan or Silva or Garland or Vasquez or the typical retreads we keep pipedreaming and
blogging about

Comment by Philnym31
2007-11-07 10:38:55

A.J. Burnett realistically may be one of the few pitchers available that can match up reasonably well with us in terms of a trade. He seems to always be injured at one point or the other … but if the Mets are willing to eat some of the salary, we won’t have to part with our prized prospects. The guy is an ace caliber arm when healthy, and you would have to take the gamble that Peterson can resolve whatever problems mechanically he may have that leads to him getting hurt. Unless it has all to do with durability issues, then that’s another story. Nevertheless though, as far as to what it would take to get it done remains to be seen; however, this is probably an avenue worth exploring.

Edwin Jackson is also a pitcher who I wouldn’t mind acquiring. He was very highly touted back in the Dodger farm system, and still only 24 years old. We, as fans, are going to need to keep an open mind when evaluating talent due to the circumstances of today’s market. If that means trying to latch onto a guy of Jackson’s potential, then why not take him along for the ride. I’m not saying Edwin Jackson will be the savior of our pitching staff, but it certainly is a smart idea to work with him and see what he can do this year, next year, and beyond if all turns out well. Could you imagine the state of the Mets rotation if we had not taken a chance on Maine and Ollie? We already have done wonders with them, maybe Edwin could be the next one in line.

 
 
Comment by falcon4e
2007-11-07 10:28:19

The Edwin Jacksons and Cliff Lees of the world aren’t exactly what I would call ‘upgrades’

These two are worth single A prospects at best.

I just dont want to be fed B.S. like “Ok here are the answers– Peterson will fix them”

Sounds cheap and bogus.

Comment by Peaches
2007-11-07 10:33:00

Might as well take our chances with Pelfrey & Humber

Comment by gomets2008