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…as the Mets take on the surging Diamondbacks in Arizona this weekend, I did a quick Q & A with Jim McLennan, who blogs about the D’Backs for AZ SnakePit…
D.J. Short:
How exciting is it to see all these young players develop at the same time? How long before GM Josh Byrnes gets the national recognition he deserves?
Jim McLennan:
It’s great to see players come up, when you’ve followed them since they were picked in the draft. The 2001 World Series winners were almost all free-agents, and that’s fine, but there’s a much greater sense of involvement if you watch your roster develop, and see prospects become rookies, then blossom into potential superstars. We have had occasional home-grown players before - Brandon Webb is the most obvious example - but three-quarters of our regular starting lineup and three-fifths of our current rotation made their debuts with Arizona. Seeing that, and knowing the core of this team will be here for a long time to come, is a very exciting prospect. Down the line, there will be some difficult decisions to be made with regard to contracts, but the next few years promise to be good ones for Arizona.
Josh Byrnes has done a masterful job of turning a 111-game loser into division champions in only three years, especially in a small budget market such as Arizona. I think it was a wise move of the organization to lock him down, signing Byrnes to an eight-year contract extension, which takes him through 2015. He has made some excellent trades, notably the one which brought Chris Young to the desert, though there have been occasional mis-steps, such as letting All-Star second-baseman Dan Uggla get snapped up by the Marlins in the Rule 5 draft. I think Byrnes is likely seen by already insiders as among the most savvy managers, but more casual observers probably won’t really pay attention to the Diamondbacks until they reach the World Series. How does this October sound?
D.J. Short:
What has impressed you the most about Dan Haren thus far?
Jim McLennan:
His splitter. That is just a nasty, nasty pitch, especially with two strikes - when he gets ahead of hitters, he’ll bury it in the dirt and get hitters to swing over it, either squibbing off a weak grounder, or missing it entirely. Moving to a hitter-friendly park at Chase, there was some concern that Haren might be a bit liable to the long-ball, but thus far he’s done a good job of keeping it in the park, with only three homers in 37.1 innings. The splitter likely plays a part in that, and while I can’t be sure, I imagine he is probably using it more than he did when he was in Oakland.
D.J. Short:
Do you think Stephen Drew will finally figure it out this season?
Jim McLennan:
So far, so good - an .810 OPS is a big improvement on last year’s figure of .683. That statistic from 2007 is probably a bit misleading: he hit a lot of balls hard, but straight at opposing fielders, which led to a batting average on balls in play (BABIP) that was significantly below the National League average; Drew was at .267, compared to .301. So he was, to a certain extent, unlucky, and he is simply concentrating at trying to put together quality at-bats; the BABIP is still lower than most, but the hits will eventually start to drop in.
D.J. Short:
Barring injury, do you expect Brandon Lyon to last the entire season as closer?
Jim McLennan:
This was the subject of some debate early on, as he struggled mightily in his first couple of starts. However, since then he has been lights-out, converting his last eight save chances, and not allowing a run in that time, a span of eleven innings. There have been some concerns about his stamina, and so far he has not been called upon to work three days in a row. It’s certainly possible that, if such a situation arises, Melvin may turn to alternatives like Tony Pena or the very-impressive Chad Qualls [obtained from Houston in the Jose Valverde trade, and who has a zero ERA after 15.2 innings], simply to give Lyon a break.
However, at the moment, it seems he has now adapted nicely to the change of roles, moving from the eighth to the ninth inning. He is a much less flamboyant and demonstrative figure than Valverde, and doesn’t have the same raw ’stuff’ - when Valverde visited Phoenix earlier in the week, he was clocked as high as 99 mph. However, he does have a broad variety of pitches, and mixes them up well: he can drop a hammer-like curve on batters for a strike, then freeze them with a fastball on the outside corner. Thus far, Lyon feels like a less stomach-churning closer, but that may in part be the result of our improved offense.
D.J. Short:
With the emergence of Micah Owings and now the much-hyped Max Scherzer, is it possible that Randy Johnson is the fifth best starting pitcher on this team now?
Jim McLennan:
Hard to say. Scherzer’s debut retiring all 13 batters he faced, was certainly eye-popping, but you need only look at the Reds’ Johnny Cueto to see that a great debut is no guarantee of future success. I’m restraining predictions of Cy Young-ness until opposing hitters come to the plate armed with a proper scouting report on Mr. Scherzer; until then, I will remain cautiously quiet. You don’t have to worry about him this weekend though: just Webb, Haren and Micah Owings.
The last-named is probably unique in recent baseball: a starting pitcher who is also one hell of a hitter, to the extent that some consideration was given to letting him play 1B between his starts. A fear of injury put that one in the freezer, though he may well be used as the DH in interleague play. As a pitcher, he worked on his change-up in the off-season, with Hall of Fame reliever Bruce Sutter (Sutter’s son was Owings’ pitching coach at Tulane), giving him a third pitch to help get through the opposing rotation an extra time. If that becomes a reliable weapon in his arsenal, Owings will be a solid middle-rotation starter, even discounting his offensive prowess.
Randy Johnson is…Randy Johnson. The first couple of starts, he was clearly still short of full strength and velocity, but it took him a couple of outings in 2007 before he rounded into shape. He had a great outing against San Diego at Petco last weekend [six innings, three hits, no walks, seven K's], but was smacked around by the Astros on Tuesday, to the tune of six earned runs in only four innings. That does worry me somewhat, simply because there isn’t much else we can do with Johnson except use him in the rotation - his back probably stops him from being used as a regular reliever, a suggestion that has been made a couple of times. When he’s on form, however, he’s still easily capable of confounding major-league batters with his slider; I just don’t know how much we can expect to see that. I’d happily settle for 25 starts and an ERA around four.
…thanks, Jim…



a reserved guy isnt he, you need to get him to open up a little more…
Haha.
if Matt ask how confident are we about this series, I probably vote 2 or 3. Please prove me wrong.
D’backs have a really nice team with some good depth. It would be a nice boost for the Mets to win this series.
The last-named is probably unique in recent baseball: a starting pitcher who is also one hell of a hitter, to the extent that some consideration was given to letting him play 1B between his starts.
An excellent idea for our favorite gamer…
On a side note…does any one know a good bar in the city to catch the Mets and the Maine Train tonight. My cable is acting up…so frustrating, I hate Time Warner!!!!
if the mets take 2 of 3, will all of you stop whining?
answer: no, they must go 162-0 or else they are playing with a sense of entitlement, whatever the hell that means.
And if they get swept, will you start getting a bit concerned? Oh, no - it’s only May. The malaise that has surrounded the team since this time last year is just an aberration. The champagne will taste so much sweeter.
162-0 or the team sucks!!!!!!!11111
too bad Randy Johnson is missing this series, they always seem to slug him…
Its particurally annoying that Johnson will probably give them the producion that we would have been happy with from Pedro Martinez, while Pedro… not so much.
2 wins, I’ll be surprised if they score more than 2 runs.
I wont take away from what the D-Backs are doing, but as someone who watches them in person a lot (Im in Denver) I have to say it reeks of a good team playing a weak NL West. The Dogers are overrated every year and the Padres and Rockies aren’t playing that well…I’d like to see what the D-backs can go against some better teams or even during inter-league play before I get scared.
I mean, every sane reporter and columnist in the world took the D-backs over the Rockies last year and look how that turned out…they got killed…
Congratulations to the D-Backs and their fans for putting together a team the right way — primarily from within using the farm system, with youth, and by avoiding injury-prone “bored” veterans for the most part.
Even if the Mets take the series from the D-Backs, I think the approach to team building that Byrnes has taken is a much smarter one than Omar’’s. I think Josh Byrnes is a smarter GM than Omar and I wish he were running the Mets.
Too bad building a quality team from farm hands would NEVER work in NYC. Thats why the D-Backs can get away with 3 years of building because no one cares out there. They couldn’t even sell out their play off games last year…
…and dont cite Boston as a better example, please, because most of their winning over the last ten years has come from huge free agent signing…the only thing do better is balance out the big FA signings with farm talent.
That’s not true. It worked for the Yankees in the mid-90s. And look what that got them? (OK, yes money helped too, but their payroll advantage was smaller during those championship years than it is now.)
It works if you commit to it. I don’t care if you are big market or small market. And I am going to cite Boston — not as a model that’s real close to the D-Backs, but as a franchise that at least values homegrown players and the draft more than Omar does. And makes acquisitions based on performance rather than an over-valuation of raw tools, friendship and sentimentality.
I would rather have watched a struggling team of talented youngsters last year than a team with many “bored” veterans collapse in a horrible way down the stretch. Any day.
No, you wouldn’t have. Its hard to get stoked on a team when they win 1/3 of their games and 10,000 people show up to beautiful Sunday matinee games…
And again, Boston mainly has won through huge FA signing and trades like Ortiz/Manny/Schilling/Beckett. Pedroia/Lowell. Pedroia and the likes are just butter and more of a fluke…read about Ellbury being passed on by every team that viewed him….it was sheer dumb luck that he has developed like he has…
Yes, I would have. Even now,
And you’re grossly exaggerating. Since Josh Byrnes has been GM, they’ve never played below .469.
It’s hard for me to root for guys like Alou and El Duque, even when the Mets win. I could never warm up to them because they’re old, they play without energy, and they get hurt and leave their teammates short.
I would gladly go through a few seasons of .450 play if I knew I’d get a team strong in pitching and full of talented youngsters at the end.
And you’re very wrong. Boston has not won mostly by huge FA signings. Manny, Beckett , Lowell, and Schilling were all acquired by trades. Ortiz was a free pickup and he was non-tendered by Minny. And Pedroia was drafted by the Sox! Wow, not one of those players you named was a FA signing.,
Epstein has put much more emphasis on trades, youth and the farm system than Omar. And it’s paid off with 2 WS titles.
Epstein is also a much better GM than Omar.
I said FA AND TRADES.
The point still stands that most of Boston’s impact lineup was not home grown talent by any means and were the product od FA signings and trades.
And again, the D-Backs are an exception to the rule…and like I also said, since Arizona cant fill seats like NY can they wont be enjoying their youthful and star studdd line up for long..
LOL, but not one of the names you gave was a FA
So it’s misleading to even say “FA AND TRADES.”
It’s not just home grown talent that’s the issue. in the case of Boston, it’s:
1) Youth
2) Performance over tools
3) Draft and farm system
4) Avoidance of aging injury-prone players
That’s the difference between a GM that has won 2 WS and Omar.
And no, that doesn’t mean Epstein is perfect or that they haven’t had bad contracts. They’ve just minimized those things as opposed to Omar.
Boston’s collapse in 06′ due to injury prone older players like Ortiz, Varitek (remember his season ending knee surgery that ushered in a collapse not too unlike our own last year) and Wells and younger talent like Beckett not stepping up to their contracts worth is just like what we have here with the Mets.
Every radio station in Boston was questioning Epstein and his personal choices and calling for his head when the team collpased because the catcher left…
Good thing BoSox ownership ignored them because the won the word series last year.
Baseball is flukey and nothing is guaranteed.
No team is going to win it every year.
The bottom line is that Epstein has been GM of the Red Sos just 1 more year than Omar has been GM of the Mets. Yet Epstein has:
1) 2 WS titles (Omar has none)
2) A highly regarded farm system (Omar’s is rated lowly)
3) A team considered better than the Mets right now.
The Red Sox budget has been only slightly larger than the Mets in recent years. Yet Epstein has outperformed Omar by a wide margin.
Also, how can you call Ortiz injury-prone when he’s played in no fewer than 149 games each of the last 4 season
Alou and El Duque haven’t even come close.
Again, no GM is immune to mistakes or players who underperform or who get hurt. The difference between the GMs is how much risk do you put on your team for these things? Omar put too many risky old players on his team since he’s been the Mets GM and it’s hurt the team more than it’s helped.
Omar is an average GM. That’s it. He’s a notch below the Epsteins and Beanes. NY deserves better. And the Mets will never win a WS title while Omar is Mets GM.
Yes, those are apples and oranges as far as markets go. Having been to about a half dozen Mets games in Arizona, i can tell you the fanbase for the D-bags is much more laid-back and willing to endure years of development of youngsters.
So if you’re a GM with real balls, you tell your owner that the way the D-Backs did it is the better way to go about it. You tell them they have to sacrifice a year or two of down years to build a stronger more long-term foundation. You get the owners to buy off on this and then you go ahead and do it.
And you don’t have to do it to the same degree the D-Backs have. You can do it more like the Red Sox have done recently, taking a more tempered approach.
See my above post. 90% of the Red Sox are FA signings and trades, some that rival anything the Mets have done since Omar’s reign (save Santana).
And the D-backs are an exception to the rule…in two years the team will be gutted just like the marlins did years ago because they dont pull in enough money through merchandising/ sponsorship/advertising/ticket sales to keep the star players…
Half of the D bacls will be in Mets, Yankee or Boston uniforms in 3 years.
See my reply.
You are totally wrong about the FA element. Not one of those players you named was acquired by the Sox via free agency. Not one.
What are you smoking?
I agree with one thing you are saying — the D-Backs are the exception to the rule. Because there are not that many really smart GMs around. Byrnes, Moore, Epstein and Beane are the exception. There may be others. But Omar is not one of them.
In 3 years, the D-Backs will still be competitive with a reasonable payroll, while the Mets and Yankees will still be struggling to remain competitive while employing too many old, injury-prone and underperforming veterans. That is, if they haven’t replaced Omar and Cashman with smarter GMs.