Stat: Losing After Being Ahead
Metsblog reader Jeff H., sent in the following statistic regarding the Mets ultimately losing after they had been ahead in a game:
“Right now they are 20-18. Of those 18 losses, 9 came in games where they were winning. Of those 9 losses, Heilman appeared in 6.”
“Had they managed to emerge with wins in roughly half of those 9 come-from-ahead defeats, their record would be around 24-14 or 25-13 and we’d have very little to complain about.”
…with 77% of the season left to play, a five game swing in either direction has a much higher effect on how i view the current state of the team…if this was later in the year, i’m not sure that the difference would be as glaring…however, as i wrote earlier in the season, every game matters, and this is apparent even now…
…the question is, when is it too early to really gauge how effective this team, and more specifically Aaron Heilman, will ultimately be this season…to be fair, the numbers regarding heilman may be a bit misleading since he is said to have appeared in six of the nine losses, and is not necessarily responsible for them…that being said, i feel that there are definite issues that face the team, the biggest of which is inconsistency…although the names change, i feel that in any given loss someone fails to do their job to the best of their ability, and i just wonder when this team will finally, if ever, fire on all cylinders…
Another reader, Dave Constantino, points out that Heilman is historically better in the second half of the season. In his career, Heilman has a 4.79 ERA in the first half of the season, but a 3.45 ERA in the second half.
…so i suppose all is not lost…
