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	<title>Comments on: News: Costly Base-Running Blunders</title>
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	<item>
		<title>By: BigHangWithEm</title>
		<link>http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-170102</link>
		<dc:creator>BigHangWithEm</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 20:32:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-170102</guid>
		<description>See where I posted below to discover why it&#039;s not the right move to go on contact with Delgado up and Rauch pitching.  

Short version,  Delgado is less likely to hit into a ground ball and Rauch is less likely to surrender a GB (both are relative to the average MLB Player).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>See where I posted below to discover why it&#8217;s not the right move to go on contact with Delgado up and Rauch pitching.  </p>
<p>Short version,  Delgado is less likely to hit into a ground ball and Rauch is less likely to surrender a GB (both are relative to the average MLB Player).</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: BigHangWithEm</title>
		<link>http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169917</link>
		<dc:creator>BigHangWithEm</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 18:39:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169917</guid>
		<description>Danny, look at my posts further down the page.  You&#039;ll see why it doesn&#039;t &quot;fully compute&quot; to automatically go on contact in that particular situation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Danny, look at my posts further down the page.  You&#8217;ll see why it doesn&#8217;t &#8220;fully compute&#8221; to automatically go on contact in that particular situation.</p>
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	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: BigHangWithEm</title>
		<link>http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169884</link>
		<dc:creator>BigHangWithEm</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 18:29:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169884</guid>
		<description>Last thing, why would you have ANY reservations about pinch hitting for castro in yesterday&#039;s 9th inning?

First you extend the game, THEN you worry about not having a backup catcher on the bench the rest of the game.

Fire Willie!

Go Mets!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last thing, why would you have ANY reservations about pinch hitting for castro in yesterday&#8217;s 9th inning?</p>
<p>First you extend the game, THEN you worry about not having a backup catcher on the bench the rest of the game.</p>
<p>Fire Willie!</p>
<p>Go Mets!</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: BigHangWithEm</title>
		<link>http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169872</link>
		<dc:creator>BigHangWithEm</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 18:25:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169872</guid>
		<description>Mudvillenine, and the rest of you folks that consider running on contact a &quot;no brainer&quot;, would you like even more evidence that it was a silly decision to send Beltran on contact?

Consider this, since the start of last season Jon Rauch has been inducing ground balls at a very low rate.  Roughly 32.5%, league average is around 43.6%.  This year, granted it is a VERY small sample, Rauch has been surrendering Line Drives at almost DOUBLE the rate of an avg. ML pitcher (almost 40%).

Maybe if the manager of the Mets did some homework before an important 4 game series, he might have a better handle on the opposing closer&#039;s tendencies!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mudvillenine, and the rest of you folks that consider running on contact a &#8220;no brainer&#8221;, would you like even more evidence that it was a silly decision to send Beltran on contact?</p>
<p>Consider this, since the start of last season Jon Rauch has been inducing ground balls at a very low rate.  Roughly 32.5%, league average is around 43.6%.  This year, granted it is a VERY small sample, Rauch has been surrendering Line Drives at almost DOUBLE the rate of an avg. ML pitcher (almost 40%).</p>
<p>Maybe if the manager of the Mets did some homework before an important 4 game series, he might have a better handle on the opposing closer&#8217;s tendencies!</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: BigHangWithEm</title>
		<link>http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169856</link>
		<dc:creator>BigHangWithEm</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 18:16:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169856</guid>
		<description>is it a no brainer? Why are we assuming a ground ball from Delgado?

Since the start of last season, Delgado has been less likely than your average ML player to hit a grounder.  Also, since the shift was on (at least that&#039;s what I gathered from others&#039; accounts of the 9th yesterday, if that&#039;s not the case then obviously this point is moot) Beltran could have taken a  bigger than normal lead, which makes the notion of running on contact even more ridiculous.

I would play the percentages and expect Delgado to K or hit a fly ball.  Also, don&#039;t forget that you had &quot;hit machine&quot; Moises Alou sitting on the bench to pitch hit for Castro in case Delgado had failed.  

I think you have to against &quot;the book&quot; and a &quot;no brainer&quot; decision and stay out of a double play there.  You still had one more HUGE bullet to use, Alou, why pin everything on Delgado, a player that has shown that he is on the decline.

That&#039;s why it was another blunder from &quot;auto-pilot&quot; Willie!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>is it a no brainer? Why are we assuming a ground ball from Delgado?</p>
<p>Since the start of last season, Delgado has been less likely than your average ML player to hit a grounder.  Also, since the shift was on (at least that&#8217;s what I gathered from others&#8217; accounts of the 9th yesterday, if that&#8217;s not the case then obviously this point is moot) Beltran could have taken a  bigger than normal lead, which makes the notion of running on contact even more ridiculous.</p>
<p>I would play the percentages and expect Delgado to K or hit a fly ball.  Also, don&#8217;t forget that you had &#8220;hit machine&#8221; Moises Alou sitting on the bench to pitch hit for Castro in case Delgado had failed.  </p>
<p>I think you have to against &#8220;the book&#8221; and a &#8220;no brainer&#8221; decision and stay out of a double play there.  You still had one more HUGE bullet to use, Alou, why pin everything on Delgado, a player that has shown that he is on the decline.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s why it was another blunder from &#8220;auto-pilot&#8221; Willie!</p>
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		<title>By: MudvilleNine</title>
		<link>http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169768</link>
		<dc:creator>MudvilleNine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 17:23:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169768</guid>
		<description>No, the idea is if the groundball is to an infielder he&#039;ll be able to score. Even Reyes would be thrown out if he waits to see if the ball hits the ground first before he starts heading home. What I like is the &quot;I would rather he uses his excellent skills to read the play properly and score if he feels he can make it.&quot; How long do you think it takes for a groundball to reach an infielder that you think he has time to read the play and judge whether he could score or not? Pretty much every manager would call to go on contact there, team&#039;s closer on the mound, bottom of the order coming up, namely the catcher who you&#039;re reluctant to pinch hit for, a hitter that has a good chance to groundout weakly. It really is a no-brainer.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No, the idea is if the groundball is to an infielder he&#8217;ll be able to score. Even Reyes would be thrown out if he waits to see if the ball hits the ground first before he starts heading home. What I like is the &#8220;I would rather he uses his excellent skills to read the play properly and score if he feels he can make it.&#8221; How long do you think it takes for a groundball to reach an infielder that you think he has time to read the play and judge whether he could score or not? Pretty much every manager would call to go on contact there, team&#8217;s closer on the mound, bottom of the order coming up, namely the catcher who you&#8217;re reluctant to pinch hit for, a hitter that has a good chance to groundout weakly. It really is a no-brainer.</p>
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		<title>By: Regis Courtemanche</title>
		<link>http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169755</link>
		<dc:creator>Regis Courtemanche</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 17:15:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169755</guid>
		<description>+1 for Ryno, that effort was pretty weak, albeit common around the league on such popups.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>+1 for Ryno, that effort was pretty weak, albeit common around the league on such popups.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: metsrule77</title>
		<link>http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169753</link>
		<dc:creator>metsrule77</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 17:14:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169753</guid>
		<description>If Reyes tries to steal second and is out then we have a much lower chance of winning the game.  You have to make the sure play and bunt him to second.  I was thinking Delgado should have tried to bunt the first pitch to get the tying run in but after he had a strike on him I was pulling for him to hit a HR to win the game.  There&#039;s no guarentee that if the mets tie the game up there that they win in extra&#039;s so I have no problem with letting Delgado hit in that spot and try and win the game.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If Reyes tries to steal second and is out then we have a much lower chance of winning the game.  You have to make the sure play and bunt him to second.  I was thinking Delgado should have tried to bunt the first pitch to get the tying run in but after he had a strike on him I was pulling for him to hit a HR to win the game.  There&#8217;s no guarentee that if the mets tie the game up there that they win in extra&#8217;s so I have no problem with letting Delgado hit in that spot and try and win the game.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: BigHangWithEm</title>
		<link>http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169448</link>
		<dc:creator>BigHangWithEm</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 15:21:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169448</guid>
		<description>Why is Beltran going on contact in the 9th the right move?

He is so fast that any ball that gets out of the infield will score the tying run.

Also Beltran is such a skilled baserunner that I would not want to force him to run.  I would rather he uses his excellent skills to read the play properly and score if he feels he can make it.  

Just another Willie blunder.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why is Beltran going on contact in the 9th the right move?</p>
<p>He is so fast that any ball that gets out of the infield will score the tying run.</p>
<p>Also Beltran is such a skilled baserunner that I would not want to force him to run.  I would rather he uses his excellent skills to read the play properly and score if he feels he can make it.  </p>
<p>Just another Willie blunder.</p>
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		<title>By: ToastyJoe</title>
		<link>http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169439</link>
		<dc:creator>ToastyJoe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 May 2008 15:15:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.metsblog.com/2008/05/16/news-costly-base-running-blunders/#comment-169439</guid>
		<description>Agreed on the first point, and I posted about that today.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Agreed on the first point, and I posted about that today.</p>
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