I wrote a column about this subject earlier today on SNY.tv, which goes into much greater detail on the subject, but reports of
Reyes’ second-second straight September swoon might be exaggerated.
While it’s true that Reyes hasn’t had many hits so far on the month in an extremely small sample, his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) is only .136. The league average is usually around .300, and a below-average BABIP is generally considered a product of bad luck more than bad hitting.
Beyond that, Reyes is actually hitting line drives at a higher rate in September — 27.3% of his balls in play — than the already-impressive 23.7% rate he’s posted on the season.
In other words, Reyes is still hitting the ball hard, he’s just hitting them right at defenders.
That’s not to say he’ll start pouring on base hits starting tonight or that he won’t go into an actual September swoon. But if he keeps hitting the ball the way he has been this month, the numbers say he’ll be just fine.
For more on this, check out the column on SNY.tv.





