Buzz: There is No Buzz
In a post to his blog for ESPN.com, Buster Olney lists five potential trade targets for the Mets, such as Nick Johnson, Aubrey Huff, Jorge Cantu, Dan Uggla and Mark DeRosa, and ‘why they make sense.’
However, according to Baseball Prospectus, there are only 10 teams in MLB who, as of today, have less than a 10 percent chance of making the playoffs.
…hat tip to MLB Trade Rumors for the link…
The thing is, on that list, there are plenty of teams like the Mariners, Astros and Braves, all of whom, according to Baseball Prospectus, may have little statistical chance of making the playoffs in June, but who also have strong fanbases, who buy tickets and jerseys and watch their teams on television every night.
That’s the thing with this trade market, the way I see it, right now, there are only three teams – the D’Backs, Padres and Nationals – whose fans have to know their team is not making the post season.
The rest of the group, be it the Rockies, A’s
or Royals, etc., all will want to keep their team in tact, most likely through the All-Star break, to try and milk as many ticket sales, as many hot dogs, team hats, ads on TV, etc., that they can before signaling to their fans that the season is essentially over.
For instance, the more I look in to him, I think Rockies OF Brad Hawpe would be a decent fit for the Mets. However, despite being 10 games out of first, they’re also one game under .500, three back of the Wild Card and are on an 11–game winning streak. So, why would they trade Hawpe for prospects? How does this help them keep winning? Or, at least help sell a few more tickets?





