Vote: 40-18 the Rest of the Season
In an online report for Newsday, Jim Baumbach explains why Mike Pelfrey has taken a step back in 2009, while writing:
“It’s time to stop playing the ‘what if’ game with the Mets and start dealing in reality. Face it: The chances of this injury-ravaged team turning its season around are about as good as Jon & Kate getting back together.”
According to Cool Standings, a team will likely need 90 wins to take the National League Wild Card this season.
The Mets must go 40–18 in their next 58 games to win 90 games.
Cool Standings determines there is less than a one-percent chance the Mets win the Wild Card, based on pace, schedule, etc…
In the Wild Card Era, the 2004 Astros are the only team to come back from a less-than one-percent chance in August to make the playoffs.
…i will always believe anything is possible in baseball…
…the thing is, even when fully healthy, the Mets did not play nearly .700 baseball… what’s more, those guys aren’t really due back until mid-to-late August… so, let’s say they play around .500 and pick up a game or two over the next few weeks, then let’s say they’re all back, everyone, on September 1, giving the Mets a healthy, fully-stocked roster for the final 30 games of the season… even under that scenario, they’d still need to go something like 25–5 in September… 25… and 5…
…in other words, guys, if you’re gonna get hot, get hot soon…
[poll id="287"]
